2) When
the moneyline goes above
-2.00, consider playing
the run-line (-1.5 runs) on favorites or pick another team to bet on.
Do
your
homework, however, before betting on the run-line, carefully analyze
the
pitcher and his past history against the opposing batters.
3) Don't
be afraid to switch teams in
mid-season.
You can
begin a new Series any time a team wins or loses a game, depending on
whether
you're banking on them going on a winning or losing streak.
By
following the
entire league closely, you can catch so-so teams on a hot streak, like
the Red Sox
opening the 2002 season or the Royals opening the 2003 season.
4) End
your Sportsbetting baseball
Series early if you wish.
For
instance, if
you've won 2 games in a row with a team and the moneyline odds jump to
-2.80 on
the next game and you don't like its chances of winning by 2 runs (so
you don't
want to bet the run-line of -1.5), don't throw away $70 trying to win
$25 on
the moneyline.
5) If
you feel very strongly about
your team's chances,
consider making your Series 50-50-75 instead of 50-50-25.
Do
some homework on your
teams and determine their current record when going for their fifth win
in a
row (which would be 4 consecutive wins in the System).
6) Although I don't implement it in the Sportsbetting Baseball System Rules, this Program benefits by adding any additional losses above and beyond 11-10 odds to the payout of what would be your next Series Amount.
In other
words, when you lose a
moneyline wager, add the
difference between what you had to lay on the favorite to what you
would have
had to lay with traditional 11-10 odds (Ex. Yankees -120, that's $120
to win
$100, instead of $110 to win $100, so you would add $10 to your next
payout).
7) Don't
forget to add any
money
paid to a
professional handicapper for his picks to your Sportsbetting Baseball
Series Amounts.
Keep
in mind
that if you pay $25 for 5 picks, you must add only $5 to each Series
Amount,
assuming you run 5 Series that day. In other words, divide the
handicapper's
fee among the total number of picks you play that day.
8) If
your Bankroll permits, you may
want to run several
Series simultaneously.
9) As
always, keep strict track of
your Sportsbetting Baseball bets.
10)
Again, with winners you're looking
for a team that wins
about 60% of its games but doesn't face moneylines of -2.00 or more too
often.
With losers, you're seeking out teams that win no more than
40% of the time and
don't get moneylines of +2.00 a lot.
Needless
to say, it would have been
much more profitable to
bet on the Braves or A's in 2002 than on the Yankees, who had an
astounding 85
of their 166 regular and postseason games (or 51%) in 2002 with
moneyline odds
of -2.00 or worse.
By
contrast, only 37 of the A's 167
games (or 22%) and only
29 of the Braves' 167 games (or 17%) had moneyline odds of -2.00 or
worse in
2002.
So you can see how the perception of the odds is so
much different than
the reality of 3 teams with virtually identical records.
During
2002, the Braves went on win
streaks of 3 or more
games 17 times and the A's accomplished the same thing 16 times.
There's
no way
these kinds of streaks (and the teams' attractive odds) could result in
anything but even bigger profits for you when using The Baseball
Streaks
System.
It's
important to note that it takes
the oddsmakers a while
to "catch on" that a team's a winner. Consider that only 3 of the
Braves' first 81 games in 2002 came with a moneyline at -2.00 or
higher.
Likewise, you would have had to lay $2 or more to win $1 on only 3 A's
games
before the All-Star Break in 2002.
For this reason, you'll want to seriously consider switching teams in the second half of the season, perhaps more than once, since first-place teams will be risky investments. Instead, look to cash in on No. 2 or No. 3 teams going on streaks, either hot or cold.
How hard
do the oddsmakers make it on
favorites in
baseball's second half?
Consider that over the last 23
regular-season games in
2002 the moneyline odds on the Yankees fluctuated between a whopping
-2.40 and
a stratospheric -4.00.
Despite the fact that the Yankees
went a red-hot 17-6
(or .739) to finish the year, you would have lost $182 using even this
powerful
System, which allows you to sit out losing streaks.
The
moral, of course, is to run like
Alfonso Soriano in the
opposite direction of ludicrous moneyline odds in baseball (or
hockey).
Summing
It All Up: SportsBetting
Baseball Streaks System
This SportsBetting Baseball
Streaks System is a unique way to bet on teams
when they're winning and sit and watch while they're losing. The key is
to find
teams that win often (60% of the time) and yet don't come with big
moneylines
(-2.00 or higher) more than 1 game in 5.
Conversely, you can bet against bad teams, banking that they'll lose. Again, just make sure they seldom win (40% of the time or less) and that their moneylines aren't worse than +2.00 more than 1 game in 5.
Because
oddsmakers make it tough
during the second half of
the season, don't hesitate to jump from one team to the next in search
of 3
consecutive wins or losses, as attractive odds make themselves
available to the
right teams.
Quick
overview of The
SportsBetting Baseball Streaks System:
1) To start this Series,
wait until your selected
"winning" team wins a game and then make a moneyline wager in the
amount necessary to earn you the predetermined Series Amount of $50 on
its next
game.
2) If your team wins, add your winnings to
your Bankroll
and make another bet on its next game, again in an amount enough to win
the
Series Amount of $50.
3) If you lose your first
wager, cut your losses and start
over the Series, going back to Rule 1, waiting for another Signal
Result.
4) Continue betting as your team wins (or
loses, if you're
betting on a "loser"), setting your Actual Wager Amounts according to
the moneyline, until you win 3 wagers in a row (and your team wins 4
games in a
row overall). Add your profits to your Bankroll and start over on a new
Series.
5) Every month or so, evaluate
your Personal SportsBetting Baseball Bankroll, and increase
your 4 Betting
Blocks if
you feel
comfortable doing so.
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